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15-county MORPC region · Franklin anchored
Pioneer Data Analytics
Issue 06 · June 2026

CENTRAL
OHIO

Market Velocity Report

Across the 15 MORPC counties the typical home lists near $390,401 and goes to contract in about 43 days. Ross County is the tightest market; Hocking County is the slowest moving.

DelawareFairfieldFayetteFranklinHockingKnoxLickingLoganMadisonMarionMorrowPerryPickawayRossUnion
15
Counties
$390,401
Median list
43
Days on market
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
Tightest market  Ross County Slowest market  Hocking County 505 peer counties · 8 factors
Zillow · Realtor.com · Census · BLS · NCES · 30-yr rate: FRED weekly, 2026-07-16  |  flip with ← / → · press C for contents · Print for PDF

Contents

Regional overview, then one page per MORPC county. June 2026. Flip with the arrow keys.

MORPC Region
Central Ohio housing, county by county.
Snapshot. Across the 15 MORPC counties the typical home lists near $390,401 and goes to contract in about 43 days. Ross County is the tightest market; Hocking County is the slowest moving.

RRegion at a Glance

Median list price
$390,401

across 15 counties

Median days on market
43

typical time to contract

Total active listings
4,677

homes for sale region-wide

★County Comparison

CountyMedian priceDOMActivePrice YoY
Delaware County$599,00034512-0.1%
Fairfield County$437,45037281+4.0%
Fayette County$239,9004966-9.4%
Franklin County$322,500372,289-7.1%
Hocking County$567,00060168-3.5%
Knox County$389,35738147+0.4%
Licking County$432,90041335+2.5%
Logan County$274,75050161-16.4%
Madison County$400,5753376+8.0%
Marion County$204,25043116-1.2%
Morrow County$537,4004567+49.2%
Perry County$299,0755163-0.3%
Pickaway County$390,40147120+7.5%
Ross County$277,0003298+8.4%
Union County$611,90645178+12.1%

Tightest market: Ross County · Slowest: Hocking County. Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Realtor.com inventory, Census ACS income.

The Forecast
What's next, and how we did.
Our approach. Each month we publish next month's numbers as a range, then grade the call when the data arrives. The model is chosen by a rolling backtest that never sees the future, and it is graded against accuracy targets written down before the run. The prior call is shown in full, every time.

1How Last Month's Call Held Up predicted vs actual

Last month we projected the region's median price within 3.6% of where it landed.

Median list price
within 3.6%

direction right 87% of the time

Days on market
within 16.9%

direction right 27% of the time

Active listings
within 9.3%

direction right 73% of the time

4Behaving Unusually anomaly screen vs the peer set

An Isolation Forest screened 505 peer counties across six market behaviors. No MORPC county lands in the strangest 5% this month.

2Our Call for July 2026 regional medians with 80% ranges, graded next month

Median list price

$393,031

80% range $371,621 to $419,399

Days on market

41

80% range 25 to 51

Active listings

162

80% range 134 to 183

3The Scoreboard targets set before the run

Models are picked by a rolling backtest that never sees the future, one champion per county cluster. MASE below 1.00 beats a naive forecast; the accuracy targets were written down before this run.

MetricChampion (counties)MASE vs targetDirection vs targetGrade
Median list priceensemble (15)1.36 vs 0.9055% vs 60%F
Days on marketensemble (15)0.88 vs 0.9571% vs 55%A
Active listingsensemble (15)0.93 vs 0.7065% vs 70%C
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Delaware County

Delaware · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StableResident ↘ DilutionCycle phase
$599,000
Median list price
34
Days on market
512
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Buyer's Market. Supply is flooding in (+23.8%) while prices soften (+0.4%).Dilution market

Investor lens · Stable. 27% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +14% versus the underlying value index; values are roughly flat (+0.4% year over year).
Resident lens · Stable. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are holding steady.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $524,727 home runs about 22.8% of a local paycheck. That is near the bottom of the region, behind 83% of peers, so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling22.7%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.64% of value, roughly $8,626 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is near the bottom of the region, behind 97% of peers, so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 2.5% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.5% year over year; typical worker earnings run $64,964. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 72% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 84% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 58% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 100% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

27% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 34 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 91% of peers.

27.2%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

lifts the grade

Prices are running +0.4% year over year while inventory is +23.8%, which places Delaware County in the ↘ Dilution quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +14.2% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is above average, ahead of 70% of peers. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+14.2%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityDelaware County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%17th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%9th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%70th pct
Jobs & economy15%72th pct

Resident / Livability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%17th pct
Schools & education20%100th pct
Buyer leverage15%91th pct
Property taxes15%3th pct
Jobs & economy10%72th pct
Equity / appreciation10%25th pct
Delaware County grades C- on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (72th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (9th percentile). Delaware County grades C+ on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is schools & education (100th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is property taxes (3th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Fairfield County

Lancaster · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StableResident ↙ StagnationCycle phase
$437,450
Median list price
37
Days on market
281
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Ghost Town. Both prices (+1.9%) and supply (+6.0%) are contracting.Stagnation market

Investor lens · Stable. 23% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +18% versus the underlying value index; values are roughly flat (+1.9% year over year).
Resident lens · Stable. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are holding steady.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $370,287 home runs about 24.1% of a local paycheck. That is near the bottom of the region, behind 90% of peers, so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling23.9%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.15% of value, roughly $4,248 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is below average, behind most peers (the 24th percentile), so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 2.8% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.5% year over year; typical worker earnings run $48,012. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 70% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 70% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 32% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 95% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

23% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 37 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 83% of peers.

23.5%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

lifts the grade

Prices are running +1.9% year over year while inventory is +6.0%, which places Fairfield County in the ↙ Stagnation quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +18.1% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is above average, ahead of 62% of peers. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+18.1%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityFairfield County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%10th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%17th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%62th pct
Jobs & economy15%70th pct

Resident / Livability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%10th pct
Schools & education20%90th pct
Buyer leverage15%83th pct
Property taxes15%24th pct
Jobs & economy10%70th pct
Equity / appreciation10%33th pct
Fairfield County grades C- on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (70th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (10th percentile). Fairfield County grades C+ on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is schools & education (90th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (10th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Fayette County

Washington Court House · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StableResident ↘ DilutionCycle phase
$239,900
Median list price
49
Days on market
66
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Buyer's Market. Supply is flooding in (+7.3%) while prices soften (+2.6%).Dilution market

Investor lens · Stable. 25% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit -2% versus the underlying value index; values are roughly flat (+2.6% year over year).
Resident lens · Stable. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are holding steady.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $245,872 home runs about 23.2% of a local paycheck. That is near the bottom of the region, behind 86% of peers, so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling23.0%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

roughly neutral

The effective property-tax rate here is about 0.96% of value, roughly $2,366 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is middle of the pack, around the 42th percentile of peers, so the tax bill is neutral to affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 3.2% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +2.8% year over year; typical worker earnings run $39,426. On economic vitality that is top-tier, ahead of 83% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 69% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 93% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

25% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 49 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 86% of peers.

24.6%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

lifts the grade

Prices are running +2.6% year over year while inventory is +7.3%, which places Fayette County in the ↘ Dilution quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit -2.4% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is top-tier, ahead of 93% of the 505-county peer set. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

-2.4%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityFayette County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%14th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%14th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%93th pct
Jobs & economy15%83th pct

Resident / Livability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%14th pct
Schools & education20%53th pct
Buyer leverage15%86th pct
Property taxes15%42th pct
Jobs & economy10%83th pct
Equity / appreciation10%40th pct
Fayette County grades C on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is reality gap (list vs value) (93th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (14th percentile). Fayette County grades C+ on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is buyer leverage (86th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (14th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Franklin County

Columbus · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StableResident ↘ DilutionCycle phase
$322,500
Median list price
37
Days on market
2,289
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Buyer's Market. Supply is flooding in (+7.7%) while prices soften (+0.1%).Dilution market

Investor lens · Stable. 24% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +7% versus the underlying value index; values are roughly flat (+0.1% year over year).
Resident lens · Stable. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are holding steady.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $301,340 home runs about 23.1% of a local paycheck. That is near the bottom of the region, behind 86% of peers, so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling23.0%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.55% of value, roughly $4,661 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is near the bottom of the region, behind 95% of peers, so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 2.9% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.5% year over year; typical worker earnings run $45,288. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 67% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 58% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 42% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is above average, ahead of 76% of peers, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

24% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 37 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 86% of peers.

24.4%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

lifts the grade

Prices are running +0.1% year over year while inventory is +7.7%, which places Franklin County in the ↘ Dilution quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +7.0% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is top-tier, ahead of 83% of the 505-county peer set. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+7.0%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityFranklin County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%14th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%14th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%83th pct
Jobs & economy15%67th pct

Resident / Livability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%14th pct
Schools & education20%86th pct
Buyer leverage15%86th pct
Property taxes15%5th pct
Jobs & economy10%67th pct
Equity / appreciation10%23th pct
Franklin County grades C on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is reality gap (list vs value) (83th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (14th percentile). Franklin County grades C+ on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is schools & education (86th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is property taxes (5th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Hocking County

Logan · MORPC Region
CoolingInvestor StableResident ↗ ExpansionCycle phase
$567,000
Median list price
60
Days on market
168
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Boom Town. Supply is rising (+63.1%) and prices are still climbing (+5.3%).Expansion market

Investor lens · Cooling. 30% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +97% versus the underlying value index; values are up +5.3% year over year.
Resident lens · Stable. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are rising, which builds equity over time; list prices run well above the index, the signature of a desirable or lifestyle market where buyers pay for the place, not the spreadsheet.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $288,493 home runs about 26.6% of a local paycheck. That is near the bottom of the region, behind 96% of peers, so affordability weighs on the grade. With wages stretched this thin, price gains from here are capped until incomes or rates move.

25% ceiling26.5%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.01% of value, roughly $2,927 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is below average, behind most peers (the 36th percentile), so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

roughly neutral

Unemployment is 3.6% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.5% year over year; typical worker earnings run $38,111. On economic vitality that is middle of the pack, around the 58th percentile of peers, which is neutral to both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 70% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 95% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

30% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 60 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 97% of peers.

30.3%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

drags the grade

Prices are running +5.3% year over year while inventory is +63.1%, which places Hocking County in the ↗ Expansion quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +96.5% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is near the bottom of the region, behind 95% of peers. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+96.5%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityHocking County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Cooling

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%4th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%3th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%5th pct
Jobs & economy15%58th pct

Resident / Livability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%4th pct
Schools & education20%56th pct
Buyer leverage15%97th pct
Property taxes15%36th pct
Jobs & economy10%58th pct
Equity / appreciation10%72th pct
Hocking County grades D- on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (58th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (3th percentile). Hocking County grades C+ on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is buyer leverage (97th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (4th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Knox County

Mount Vernon · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StrongResident ↖ ScarcityCycle phase
$389,357
Median list price
38
Days on market
147
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Seller's Market. Inventory is tightening (-2.0%) and pushing prices up (+5.6%).Scarcity market

Investor lens · Stable. 28% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +33% versus the underlying value index; values are up +5.6% year over year.
Resident lens · Strong. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are rising, which builds equity over time; list prices run well above the index, the signature of a desirable or lifestyle market where buyers pay for the place, not the spreadsheet.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $293,332 home runs about 22.5% of a local paycheck. That is below average, behind most peers (the 20th percentile), so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling22.3%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.07% of value, roughly $3,151 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is below average, behind most peers (the 30th percentile), so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 2.8% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +1.5% year over year; typical worker earnings run $40,571. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 79% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 70% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 95% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

28% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 38 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 94% of peers.

28.0%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

drags the grade

Prices are running +5.6% year over year while inventory is -2.0%, which places Knox County in the ↖ Scarcity quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +32.7% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is below average, behind most peers (the 36th percentile). A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+32.7%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityKnox County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%20th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%6th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%36th pct
Jobs & economy15%79th pct

Resident / Livability · Strong

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%20th pct
Schools & education20%84th pct
Buyer leverage15%93th pct
Property taxes15%30th pct
Jobs & economy10%79th pct
Equity / appreciation10%75th pct
Knox County grades C- on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (79th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (6th percentile). Knox County grades B- on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is buyer leverage (93th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (20th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Licking County

Newark · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StableResident ↖ ScarcityCycle phase
$432,900
Median list price
41
Days on market
335
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Seller's Market. Inventory is tightening (-12.8%) and pushing prices up (+3.7%).Scarcity market

Investor lens · Stable. 19% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +25% versus the underlying value index; values are up +3.7% year over year.
Resident lens · Stable. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are rising, which builds equity over time; list prices run well above the index, the signature of a desirable or lifestyle market where buyers pay for the place, not the spreadsheet.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $345,136 home runs about 24.1% of a local paycheck. That is near the bottom of the region, behind 90% of peers, so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling24.0%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.26% of value, roughly $4,337 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is near the bottom of the region, behind 82% of peers, so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 2.9% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.6% year over year; typical worker earnings run $46,457. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 69% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 67% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 29% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 91% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

19% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 41 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is below average, behind most peers (the 38th percentile).

19.5%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

roughly neutral

Prices are running +3.7% year over year while inventory is -12.8%, which places Licking County in the ↖ Scarcity quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +25.4% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is middle of the pack, around the 45th percentile of peers. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+25.4%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityLicking County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%10th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%38th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%45th pct
Jobs & economy15%69th pct

Resident / Livability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%10th pct
Schools & education20%87th pct
Buyer leverage15%62th pct
Property taxes15%18th pct
Jobs & economy10%69th pct
Equity / appreciation10%53th pct
Licking County grades C on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (69th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (10th percentile). Licking County grades C+ on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is schools & education (87th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (10th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Logan County

Bellefontaine · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StrongResident ↗ ExpansionCycle phase
$274,750
Median list price
50
Days on market
161
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Boom Town. Supply is rising (+35.9%) and prices are still climbing (+4.0%).Expansion market

Investor lens · Stable. 24% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +6% versus the underlying value index; values are up +4.0% year over year.
Resident lens · Strong. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are rising, which builds equity over time.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $258,347 home runs about 21.2% of a local paycheck. That is below average, behind most peers (the 34th percentile), so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling21.0%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.05% of value, roughly $2,701 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is below average, behind most peers (the 33th percentile), so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 2.9% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.6% year over year; typical worker earnings run $42,611. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 70% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 68% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 92% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

24% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 50 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 84% of peers.

23.7%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

lifts the grade

Prices are running +4.0% year over year while inventory is +35.9%, which places Logan County in the ↗ Expansion quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +6.3% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is top-tier, ahead of 84% of the 505-county peer set. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+6.3%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityLogan County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%34th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%16th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%84th pct
Jobs & economy15%70th pct

Resident / Livability · Strong

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%34th pct
Schools & education20%67th pct
Buyer leverage15%84th pct
Property taxes15%33th pct
Jobs & economy10%70th pct
Equity / appreciation10%56th pct
Logan County grades C+ on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is reality gap (list vs value) (84th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (16th percentile). Logan County grades B- on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is buyer leverage (84th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is property taxes (33th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Madison County

London · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StableResident ↙ StagnationCycle phase
$400,575
Median list price
33
Days on market
76
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Ghost Town. Both prices (+1.5%) and supply (+1.3%) are contracting.Stagnation market

Investor lens · Stable. 19% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +24% versus the underlying value index; values are roughly flat (+1.5% year over year).
Resident lens · Stable. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are holding steady.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $322,279 home runs about 21.9% of a local paycheck. That is below average, behind most peers (the 26th percentile), so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling21.8%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.05% of value, roughly $3,394 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is below average, behind most peers (the 32th percentile), so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 2.6% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.8% year over year; typical worker earnings run $45,993. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 76% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 70% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 94% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

roughly neutral

19% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 33 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is middle of the pack, around the 41th percentile of peers.

18.7%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

roughly neutral

Prices are running +1.5% year over year while inventory is +1.3%, which places Madison County in the ↙ Stagnation quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +24.3% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is middle of the pack, around the 46th percentile of peers. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+24.3%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityMadison County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%26th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%41th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%46th pct
Jobs & economy15%76th pct

Resident / Livability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%26th pct
Schools & education20%81th pct
Buyer leverage15%58th pct
Property taxes15%32th pct
Jobs & economy10%76th pct
Equity / appreciation10%31th pct
Madison County grades C+ on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (76th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (26th percentile). Madison County grades C+ on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is schools & education (81th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (26th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Marion County

Marion · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StrongResident ↗ ExpansionCycle phase
$204,250
Median list price
43
Days on market
116
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Boom Town. Supply is rising (+27.6%) and prices are still climbing (+7.1%).Expansion market

Investor lens · Stable. 28% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +10% versus the underlying value index; values are up +7.1% year over year.
Resident lens · Strong. Comfortably within reach of local incomes; values are rising, which builds equity over time.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

lifts the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $186,484 home runs about 18.4% of a local paycheck. That is above average, ahead of 62% of peers, so affordability helps the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling18.3%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 0.98% of value, roughly $1,827 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is below average, behind most peers (the 39th percentile), so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

roughly neutral

Unemployment is 3.2% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is -0.3% year over year; typical worker earnings run $37,641. On economic vitality that is middle of the pack, around the 55th percentile of peers, which is neutral to both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

roughly neutral

County schools average 48% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is middle of the pack, around the 45th percentile of peers, which is neutral to the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

28% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 43 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 93% of peers.

27.9%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

lifts the grade

Prices are running +7.1% year over year while inventory is +27.6%, which places Marion County in the ↗ Expansion quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +9.5% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is above average, ahead of 79% of peers. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+9.5%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityMarion County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%62th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%7th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%79th pct
Jobs & economy15%55th pct

Resident / Livability · Strong

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%62th pct
Schools & education20%29th pct
Buyer leverage15%93th pct
Property taxes15%39th pct
Jobs & economy10%55th pct
Equity / appreciation10%86th pct
Marion County grades C+ on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is reality gap (list vs value) (79th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (7th percentile). Marion County grades B on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is buyer leverage (93th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is schools & education (29th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Morrow County

Mount Gilead · MORPC Region
CoolingInvestor StableResident ↖ ScarcityCycle phase
$537,400
Median list price
45
Days on market
67
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Seller's Market. Inventory is tightening (-7.6%) and pushing prices up (+3.4%).Scarcity market

Investor lens · Cooling. 29% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +87% versus the underlying value index; values are up +3.4% year over year.
Resident lens · Stable. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are rising, which builds equity over time; list prices run well above the index, the signature of a desirable or lifestyle market where buyers pay for the place, not the spreadsheet.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $286,724 home runs about 22.9% of a local paycheck. That is near the bottom of the region, behind 83% of peers, so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling22.7%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.10% of value, roughly $3,153 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is below average, behind most peers (the 28th percentile), so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 3.1% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.7% year over year; typical worker earnings run $41,545. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 69% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 60% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 80% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

29% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 45 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 96% of peers.

28.7%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

drags the grade

Prices are running +3.4% year over year while inventory is -7.6%, which places Morrow County in the ↖ Scarcity quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +87.4% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is near the bottom of the region, behind 94% of peers. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+87.4%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityMorrow County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Cooling

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%17th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%4th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%6th pct
Jobs & economy15%69th pct

Resident / Livability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%17th pct
Schools & education20%61th pct
Buyer leverage15%95th pct
Property taxes15%28th pct
Jobs & economy10%69th pct
Equity / appreciation10%50th pct
Morrow County grades D on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (69th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (4th percentile). Morrow County grades C+ on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is buyer leverage (95th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (17th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Perry County

New Lexington · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StrongResident ↙ StagnationCycle phase
$299,075
Median list price
51
Days on market
63
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Ghost Town. Both prices (-0.1%) and supply (+0.8%) are contracting.Stagnation market

Investor lens · Stable. 30% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +30% versus the underlying value index; values are roughly flat (-0.1% year over year).
Resident lens · Strong. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are holding steady; list prices run well above the index, the signature of a desirable or lifestyle market where buyers pay for the place, not the spreadsheet.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

roughly neutral

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $230,216 home runs about 20.1% of a local paycheck. That is middle of the pack, around the 46th percentile of peers, so affordability is neutral to the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling20.0%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

roughly neutral

The effective property-tax rate here is about 0.93% of value, roughly $2,138 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is middle of the pack, around the 45th percentile of peers, so the tax bill is neutral to affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

roughly neutral

Unemployment is 3.5% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.6% year over year; typical worker earnings run $41,151. On economic vitality that is middle of the pack, around the 60th percentile of peers, which is neutral to both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 63% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 84% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

30% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 51 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 97% of peers.

29.9%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

drags the grade

Prices are running -0.1% year over year while inventory is +0.8%, which places Perry County in the ↙ Stagnation quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +29.9% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is below average, behind most peers (the 39th percentile). A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+29.9%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityPerry County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%46th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%3th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%39th pct
Jobs & economy15%60th pct

Resident / Livability · Strong

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%46th pct
Schools & education20%52th pct
Buyer leverage15%96th pct
Property taxes15%45th pct
Jobs & economy10%60th pct
Equity / appreciation10%23th pct
Perry County grades C- on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (60th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (3th percentile). Perry County grades B- on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is buyer leverage (96th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is equity / appreciation (23th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Pickaway County

Circleville · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StableResident ↗ ExpansionCycle phase
$390,401
Median list price
47
Days on market
120
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Boom Town. Supply is rising (+6.7%) and prices are still climbing (+3.4%).Expansion market

Investor lens · Stable. 28% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +17% versus the underlying value index; values are up +3.4% year over year.
Resident lens · Stable. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are rising, which builds equity over time.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $332,519 home runs about 25.8% of a local paycheck. That is near the bottom of the region, behind 95% of peers, so affordability weighs on the grade. With wages stretched this thin, price gains from here are capped until incomes or rates move.

25% ceiling25.7%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.03% of value, roughly $3,439 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is below average, behind most peers (the 34th percentile), so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 3.0% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.8% year over year; typical worker earnings run $45,037. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 71% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 70% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 95% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

28% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 47 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 93% of peers.

27.9%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

lifts the grade

Prices are running +3.4% year over year while inventory is +6.7%, which places Pickaway County in the ↗ Expansion quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +17.4% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is above average, ahead of 64% of peers. A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+17.4%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityPickaway County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%5th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%7th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%64th pct
Jobs & economy15%71th pct

Resident / Livability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%5th pct
Schools & education20%78th pct
Buyer leverage15%93th pct
Property taxes15%34th pct
Jobs & economy10%71th pct
Equity / appreciation10%51th pct
Pickaway County grades C- on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (71th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (5th percentile). Pickaway County grades C+ on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is buyer leverage (93th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is affordability (5th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Ross County

Chillicothe · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StrongResident ↖ ScarcityCycle phase
$277,000
Median list price
32
Days on market
98
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Seller's Market. Inventory is tightening (-4.4%) and pushing prices up (+3.2%).Scarcity market

Investor lens · Stable. 22% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +34% versus the underlying value index; values are up +3.2% year over year.
Resident lens · Strong. Comfortably within reach of local incomes; values are rising, which builds equity over time; list prices run well above the index, the signature of a desirable or lifestyle market where buyers pay for the place, not the spreadsheet.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

roughly neutral

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $206,711 home runs about 19.6% of a local paycheck. That is middle of the pack, around the 52th percentile of peers, so affordability is neutral to the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling19.5%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 0.99% of value, roughly $2,057 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is below average, behind most peers (the 38th percentile), so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

drags the grade

Unemployment is 4.0% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is -1.7% year over year; typical worker earnings run $40,787. On economic vitality that is below average, behind most peers (the 31th percentile), which drags both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 58% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is above average, ahead of 75% of peers, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

22% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 32 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is below average, behind most peers (the 25th percentile).

21.6%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

drags the grade

Prices are running +3.2% year over year while inventory is -4.4%, which places Ross County in the ↖ Scarcity quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +34.0% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is below average, behind most peers (the 35th percentile). A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+34.0%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityRoss County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%52th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%25th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%35th pct
Jobs & economy15%31th pct

Resident / Livability · Strong

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%52th pct
Schools & education20%54th pct
Buyer leverage15%74th pct
Property taxes15%38th pct
Jobs & economy10%31th pct
Equity / appreciation10%48th pct
Ross County grades C on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is affordability (52th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (25th percentile). Ross County grades B- on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is buyer leverage (74th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is jobs & economy (31th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Market Velocity Report · June 2026

Union County

Marysville · MORPC Region
StableInvestor StrongResident ↘ DilutionCycle phase
$611,906
Median list price
45
Days on market
178
Active listings
6.55%
30-yr mortgage
“The Buyer's Market. Supply is flooding in (+19.1%) while prices soften (+1.4%).Dilution market

Investor lens · Stable. 23% of active listings have taken a price cut; list prices sit +46% versus the underlying value index; values are roughly flat (+1.4% year over year).
Resident lens · Strong. A stretch but workable on local wages; values are holding steady; list prices run well above the index, the signature of a desirable or lifestyle market where buyers pay for the place, not the spreadsheet.

01

Affordability can locals buy here

drags the grade

At a 6.55% 30-year mortgage, the monthly payment on a typical $419,056 home runs about 21.7% of a local paycheck. That is below average, behind most peers (the 28th percentile), so affordability weighs on the grade. There is genuine headroom for local incomes to absorb higher prices.

25% ceiling21.5%
02

Property Taxes the carrying cost

drags the grade

The effective property-tax rate here is about 1.25% of value, roughly $5,258 a year on a typical home. Against peers that is near the bottom of the region, behind 82% of peers, so the tax bill weighs on affordability for an owner-occupant.

03

Jobs & Economy economic vitality

lifts the grade

Unemployment is 2.4% (BLS, latest month), and the job base is +0.7% year over year; typical worker earnings run $55,678. On economic vitality that is above average, ahead of 79% of peers, which lifts both grades.

04

Schools & Education what families weigh first

lifts the grade

County schools average 77% proficiency across reading and math (enrollment-weighted across every district), and 39% of adults hold a bachelor's degree or higher. On the combined education signal that is top-tier, ahead of 99% of the 505-county peer set, which lifts the resident grade. School data reflects the latest reliable state testing (around 2018); county figures are enrollment-weighted, so a large urban district can pull the average down even where strong suburban districts exist.

05

Market Liquidity who holds the leverage

drags the grade

23% of active listings have cut their price and homes are taking about 45 days to go under contract. Fewer cuts mean sellers hold pricing power; more cuts shift leverage toward buyers. On pricing discipline this county is near the bottom of the region, behind 81% of peers.

23.1%
06

Price Momentum & Value where it is heading

drags the grade

Prices are running +1.4% year over year while inventory is +19.1%, which places Union County in the ↘ Dilution quadrant of the regional matrix. List prices sit +46.0% versus the ZHVI value index; against peers that gap is below average, behind most peers (the 24th percentile). A wide positive gap flags appraisal risk for investors, but in a desirable or lifestyle market it often just reflects what buyers will pay to be here.

+46.0%undervaluedaligneddelusional↗ Expansion↖ Scarcity↘ Dilution↙ Stagnationinventory velocity →↑ price velocityUnion County
07

How the Grades Are Built

Investor / Stability · Stable

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability35%28th pct
Liquidity & pricing discipline30%19th pct
Reality gap (list vs value)20%24th pct
Jobs & economy15%79th pct

Resident / Livability · Strong

FactorWeightThis county vs peers
Affordability30%28th pct
Schools & education20%96th pct
Buyer leverage15%81th pct
Property taxes15%18th pct
Jobs & economy10%79th pct
Equity / appreciation10%29th pct
Union County grades C- on the investor lens. Its strongest factor is jobs & economy (79th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is liquidity & pricing discipline (19th percentile). Union County grades B- on the resident lens. Its strongest factor is schools & education (96th percentile of peers); its biggest drag is property taxes (18th percentile). Each factor is this county's rank among 505 peer counties (Ohio + five bordering states), weighted; higher percentile is better.
Pioneer AI & Data · Network Compass · Generated 2026-08-05